(Number updated daily). Wisconsin 2020: Biden Maintains Seven-Point Lead. That poll found Biden's national lead had shrunk from 10 to 6 points and that Trump had gained support among white voters. As noted, most of those choosing early or absentee methods favor Biden, with margins of +60 points in Wisconsin and +73 points in Minnesota. Today moderates support Biden by a remarkable 57-point margin, 76%-19%, in Minnesota, and an also-broad 42 points, 69%-27%, in Wisconsin. Biden won over just over half of likely voters in the state, with only 5% undecided or voting for a third-party candidate. Friday, 25 September 2020 01:23 PM. "No one will be safe in Biden’s America. The question is whether they'll make the effort. Compare that with the pandemic itself: on this, 54% in Wisconsin and 60% in Minnesota disapprove of Trump's work. Ebony Cox/Green Bay Press-Gazette via USA Today Network. Minnesota 2nd Congressional District Election Delayed after Candidate Dies, Interactive Map for the FiveThirtyEight Senate Forecast. In Minnesota, Biden leads Trump by double digits in being more honest and trustworthy (+22 points) and better understanding the problems of people like you (+18) -- but that shrinks to a slight 7 points on who's the stronger leader. Even with the pandemic-related recession, he gets narrow majority approval for handling the economy in Wisconsin, 53%-46%, and about an even split in Minnesota, 47%-49%, approve-disapprove. After conventions, Biden looks to excite his base while Trump tries to expand his, Trump tells Ingraham some officers 'choke' during shootings, saying 'They miss a 3-foot putt', Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. Justice Kelly was appointed to a vacant seat in 2016 by Governor Scott Walker. The survey was produced for ABC News by Langer Research Associates, with sampling and data collection by Abt Associates of Rockville, Md. The primary for this election was held concurrent with the spring primary on February 18. In ABC News/Washington Post national polling in 2016, a 12-point lead for Hillary Clinton on Oct. 22, 17 days before the election, contracted to Trump +1 eight days later, as GOP voters set aside the issue of Trump's lewd comments on the Access Hollywood tape and returned to his ranks. An Emerson College poll released Monday found Trump down just 2 points to Biden, 47%-49%. In Minnesota, Biden holds a commanding 60-point lead in the traditionally Democratic Twin Cities core, while Trump holds a 31-point advantage in northern Minnesota, which he carried by 23 points in 2016. With the Wisconsin Supreme Court’s order Monday evening that Gov. See methodological details below. [1] With Wisconsin grappling with their own pandemic, state Democratic lawmakers made several attempts to postpone their election, but were prevented by other Republican legislators. Court commissioner Jane Kopish Sequin defeated attorney Mike Perry. Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. Michael Patrick Leahy 27 Aug 2020. On April 7, 2020, Wisconsin held its spring election for nonpartisan, local, and judicial offices, as well as its presidential preference primary. . Biden's lead in Wisconsin has averaged around 6 or 7 points in the totality of public polling over the past few months. On the same day, a separate effort to extend the deadline for mailing absentee ballots was blocked by the Supreme Court of the United States. Thirty four of the state's 249 circuit court seats were up for election in 2020. As in national ABC News/Washington Post polls, in a statistical analysis called regression, views on the condition of the economy and concerns about catching the coronavirus independently predict vote choices, even when controlling for demographic factors including the three traditional heavy hitters in presidential vote preference -- partisanship, ideology and race/ethnicity. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? However, due to delays in vote-counting, Bernie Sanders had already withdrawn from the race by the time the vote totals were released. Poll: Biden Holds Narrow Lead Over Trump in Wisconsin, Marquette, CNBC Polls: Biden Leads Wisconsin, 58 of Fortune 100 Donate $3.3B to Social Causes, Teacher Threatens Student Who Has Trump Flag on Wall, Trump: New York Times Story on Taxes 'Fake News', Pelosi Begins Process of House Picking President. . In smaller or more rural communities, which tended to be whiter and vote Republican, few issues were reported. Under Wisconsin law, the seat must come up for a new election for a full term on the next year when there is no other scheduled supreme court election. And a recent poll from the Trafalgar Group found Trump up over Biden in Michigan, 47%-45%, a 9-point difference from the Morning Consult poll. Today likely voters age 65 and older divide by 64%-35% for Biden over Trump in Minnesota and by 58%-41% in Wisconsin. And two other recent national polls showed Biden with a 9-point lead. Six in 10 Minnesota independents support the protests; it's 51% among their counterparts in Wisconsin. As elsewhere, increased early voting raises the possibility that election results may be delayed as the influx of absentee votes is counted. Suburban women, notably, are evenly divided in Wisconsin, but favor Biden by a vast 40 points in Minnesota. Listen for free every weekday on Apple Podcasts, Google Podcasts, Spotify, the ABC News app or wherever you get your podcasts. The most recent Rasmussen survey – which consistently finds Trump performing better than most other pollsters – found Biden with just a 1-point lead over Trump, down from a 4-point lead the week before and within its margin of error of plus or minus two percentage points. Among other groups, non-college-educated white men have been a core support bloc for Trump, and remain so -- but he's lost a great deal of support since 2016 among non-college white women in these states, as well as among college-educated white men and women alike. Some of the speculation that Biden was losing ground to Trump was based on a Morning Consult poll that was released Saturday. Vote preferences among issue groups differ profoundly. Two major elections will be held in the U.S. state of Wisconsin in 2020. Among non-college whites, the differences from 2016 are an extension of Trump's weakness among women generally. Polls . Underlying sentiments explain these gaps. While wearing medical-like personal protective equipment of gloves, a mask, and full gown, he told reporters that it was "incredibly safe to go out" and vote, adding that voters faced "minimal exposure. [11][13] However, by the time the election concluded, Milwaukee Election Commissioner Neil Albrecht stated that despite some of the problems, the in-person voting ran smoothly. While two-thirds of Trump's supporters are very enthusiastic about supporting him, strong enthusiasm for Biden falls sharply, to 50% in Wisconsin and 44% in Minnesota -- a persistent disadvantage for the Democrat. Here, gender is not a factor; Biden holds wide leads among moderate men and women alike. The only candidate for the Republican nomination was incumbent President Donald Trump, who received about 98% of the vote.[27]. The poll surveyed 823 likely voters in Wisconsin from Sept. 6-8, 2020 and has a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percentage points. As noted, 55% of registered voters in Minnesota and 51% in Wisconsin support the protests. By contrast, Biden wins about 90% of those who pick the pandemic as the most important issue. [14][16] The lines disproportionately affected Milwaukee's large Hispanic and African-American population; the latter had already been disproportionately afflicted with the coronavirus pandemic, forming nearly half of Wisconsin's documented cases and over half its deaths at the time the vote was conducted. Voters will also choose ten electors to represent them in the Electoral College, which will then participate in selecting the president of the United States. Suburban likely voters pick Trump by a non-significant 9 points in Wisconsin, compared with a 16-point lead for Biden in the Minnesota suburbs. Subscribe. In Chippewa County, incumbent Judge Steven R. Cray was not seeking re-election. In the special election held on May 12, 2020, Republican state senator Tom Tiffany defeated Democrat Tricia Zunker. As of the most recent report, seven incumbent senators have filed official papers of non-candidacy.[31]. Here's a List", "In matter of seconds, Republicans stall Gov. In the 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries, the Wisconsin Republican presidential preference primary was also on the April 7 ballot. "[12][20], This voter turnout is approximately 45.8% of eligible voters. * The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. The largest will be the general and presidential election, scheduled to be held on November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Earlier in August, the poll found Trump's favorable rating at 35% and his unfavorable rating at 58%. "[9] In a sub-headline, The New York Times stated that the election was "almost certain to be tarred as illegitimate." FiveThirtyEight has Biden up 7.2% in its polling average, down from 9.3% a week earlier. This was the last primary of the 2020 Democratic nominating contest before Senator Bernie Sanders suspended his 2020 campaign. Please click here to contribute to EP's GoFundMe campaign. are registered trademarks of Newsmax Media, Inc. Newsmax TV, and Newsmax World are trademarks of Newsmax Media, Inc. President Donald Trump is lagging behind Democrat presidential candidate Joe Biden by seven points in the latest poll of likely voters in Wisconsin from Emerson College and NewsNation. Military voters have been of increased interest since the publication of allegations that Trump disparaged military service in private conversations, which he has denied. [31], Three judicial appointees of former Governor Scott Walker were defeated in the 2020 spring election—Wisconsin Supreme Court Justice Daniel Kelly, and Milwaukee Circuit Court judges Paul Dedinsky and Daniel Gabler.[34]. A previous poll of the state from March showed Biden up by eight points at 54% to Trump’s 46%. At the time of the Wisconsin primary, only Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders remained in the field of Democratic candidates. The Trafalgar survey's margin of error was plus or minus 2.98 percentage points. Therefore, I do not necessarily endorse the products and/or services shown. In Waukesha County, incumbent Judge Lee S. Dreyfus, Jr., was not seeking re-election. View the results of 2020 election polls from Wisconsin. Emerson College Polling Director Spencer Kimball noted that “while the electorate appears stable in Wisconsin, turnout will be the key, as Biden is looking to get his vote through the mail while Trump is looking to get his voters to the polls on Election Day.”. The 16 even-numbered districts out of 33 seats in the Wisconsin Senate are up for election in 2020. In the April election, Wisconsin voters overwhelmingly approved an amendment to the Constitution of Wisconsin to enact the Wisconsin version of Marsy's Law. [12] The city's government was only able to open 5 of 180 polling stations after being short by nearly 1,000 poll workers. In contrast, there are no significant differences comparing another group, union vs. non-union households. ", "Long Lines at Milwaukee's Polling Places", "Milwaukee Election Chief: Despite Some Issues, In-Person Voting Went Smoothly", "In battleground Wisconsin, long voter lines, no election results and a missed opportunity to build toward November", "Wisconsin voters face long waits, lines amid coronavirus outbreak", "Republican Wisconsin assembly speaker wears protective gear while telling voters they are 'incredibly safe to go out, "Election Day Update Blog | Wisconsin Elections Commission", "April 1, 2020 Voter Registration Statistics | Wisconsin Elections Commission", "Voter turnout hit 34% for Wisconsin Supreme Court race, 71% of ballots were cast absentee", "What Went Down In The Wisconsin Primary", "Absentee Ballot Report - April 7, 2020 Spring Election and Presidential Preference Primary | Wisconsin Elections Commission", "U.S. Sens. That flips among those who oppose such protests; about three-quarters support Trump. That far outstrips rates of early voting seen in 2016, which were 27% in Wisconsin and 23% in Minnesota. There are differences among groups in these neighboring states. In Wisconsin, the two are closer on each issue. Polls shown below track voters’ 2020 presidential election views in Wisconsin. In this photo provided by Wisconsin Watch, election workers Jeff and Lori Lutzka, right, process absentee ballots at Milwaukee's central count facility on Aug. 11, 2020. Tammy Baldwin and Ron Johnson call for investigation into Wisconsin's missing absentee ballots", "First results in for April 7 Wisconsin election: Joe Biden, Donald Trump win primaries", "7th Congressional District: Republican Tom Tiffany wins seat held by former Rep. Sean Duffy, beating out Tricia Zunker", Candidate Tracking by Office 2020 General Election - 11/3/2020, Incumbents Who Have Filed a Notifications of Noncandidacy (EL-163) for the November 3, 2020 General Election, "Live: Wisconsin State Primary Election Results 2020", "Wisconsin State Assembly elections, 2020", "Walker judicial appointees fail to keep seats, plus more judicial election results", "Upset Victory in Wisconsin Supreme Court Race Gives Democrats a Lift", "Election results: Wisconsin spring primary election", Canvass Results for 2020 Spring Primary - 2/18/2020 6:00:00 AM, Canvass Results for 2020 Spring Election and Presidential Preference Vote, "Brown County voters to decide court, presidential races", Summary Results Report 2020 Spring Election & Pres Pref April 7, 2020, "Chippewa County features area's only contested judicial race", "Kristine Snow feels her experience will make a difference in circuit court race", "In race with questions about true residency, 2 challengers seek to unseat Scott Walker court appointee", "Children's Court prosecutor to challenge Scott Walker appointee in 2020 judicial election", "Marsy's Law constitutional amendment passes overwhelmingly in Wisconsin, giving more rights to victims of crimes", "Youth reigns: Appleton voters choose Jake Woodford as next mayor in odd, prolonged election", "Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett easily wins reelection in race against state Sen. Lena Taylor", "State Rep. David Crowley edges state Sen. Chris Larson for Milwaukee County exec", "Candidate for Milwaukee City Attorney says he tested positive for COVID-19", "Tearman Spencer wins Milwaukee city attorney's race, upsetting longtime incumbent Grant Langley", "Racine Unified's $1 billion referendum passes by 5 votes; recount not automatic", "Referendum recount: Day one brings margin from 5 to 3; recount to resume Monday", "$1B Racine schools referendum, subject to recount after petition, passes by 4 votes", "Appeal filed for RUSD referendum recount", "Wausau mayoral race: Katie Rosenberg defeats and unseats Robert Mielke, based on unofficial results", "Big Voting Decisions in Florida, Wisconsin, Texas: What They Mean for November", "Wisconsin: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2020_Wisconsin_elections&oldid=979549804, Short description with empty Wikidata description, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License, In Brown County, incumbent Judge Beau G. Liegeois, appointed by Governor. A special primary election for the vacant congressional seat was held concurrent with the Spring Primary, February 18, 2020. 5% are undecided or voting for someone else. There are no featured local elections in Wisconsin in 2020. So it's a bit early to come to too many conclusions.". © Copyright 2003-2020:  Scott Elliott, All Rights Reserved. The polls found the race little changed in Colorado, Minnesota, North Carolina, Ohio and Texas, while Biden gained ground in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan and Wisconsin. It's a close contest in Wisconsin heading into the final seven weeks of the 2020 presidential campaign, while women, suburban residents and independents are among the groups lifting Joe Biden to a substantial lead in Minnesota, according to a pair of new ABC News/Washington Post polls. Kyle Rittenhouse, a 17-year-old who went there from Illinois with an AR-15, is accused of being the shooter. The 2020 United States presidential election in Wisconsin is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Among likely voters who rate the economy positively (42% in Minnesota, 45% in Wisconsin), Trump leads Biden by wide margins; among those who are little worried or unworried that they or a family member might catch the coronavirus (32% in Minnesota, 37% in Wisconsin), it's Trump again overwhelmingly. Opposition peaks among Republicans and conservatives. Fifty-eight of Fortune magazine's 100 largest companies have pledged $3.3 billion to social political causes linked to t . Michael Dukakis in 1988, Massachusettes Sen. John Kerry in 2004 and Clinton in 2016. Today Biden has 52% support among likely voters there, with 46% for Trump -- not a statistically significant difference given the survey's margin of sampling error. A supporter wears a mask of President Donald Trump on Aug. 17, 2020, in Mankato, Minn. A woman holds a sign that reads "Minnesota for Biden" as protesters gather in downtown while President Donald Trump makes a campaign stop at Mankato Regional Airport on Aug. 17, 2020, in Mankato, Minn. MORE: Could bad penmanship get your ballot tossed? A Hill/HarrisX poll conducted Aug. 25-28 found Biden up 47%-38% over Trump and an Economist/YouGov survey conducted Aug. 23-25 found Biden up 50%-41%. The post-convention polls were conducted from Aug. 21-30. Polls are only displayed here if they meet CNN’s standards for reporting. Tony Evers calls special session to stop in-person voting, but Republican leaders say it should go forward", "Wisconsin Supreme Court blocks order by governor suspending in-person voting, putting Tuesday's election back on track", "Wisconsin Election Fight Heralds a National Battle Over Virus-Era Voting", "As election day arrives, voters hoping to avoid coronavirus say they are still waiting for absentee ballots", "Wisconsin is discovering problems with absentee ballots, including hundreds that were never delivered", "Editorial: Evers' ban on in-person voting was the right call to ensure a safe, fair election during coronavirus pandemic", "Why Wisconsin Republicans Insisted on an Election in a Pandemic", "Wisconsin Election: Voters Forced to Choose Between Protecting Their Health and Their Civic Duty", "Voting in Wisconsin During a Pandemic: Lines, Masks and Plenty of Fear", "They Turned Out to Vote in Wisconsin During a Health Crisis. Trump won Wisconsin in 2016 by fewer than 23,000 votes out of 3 million cast. Another sharp difference from 2016, in both states, is among moderates. A primary election for these offices was held on August 11, 2020. Minnesota last voted for a Republican for president in 1972. Trump gained 2 percentage points on Biden in Pennsylvania and 3 points in Florida, though the president still trailed in both of those states. The president's ratings differ by topic. People who back recent protests over police treatment of Black people support Biden by 80%-17% in Wisconsin and 86%-12% in Minnesota. The only major concession achieved was that absentee ballots postmarked by April 7 at 8 p.m. would be accepted until April 13. Trump leads by 21 points in Chiwaukee suburbs, home to the recent Kenosha protests. Wisconsin voters also approved an amendment to the Constitution of Wisconsin known popularly as Marsy's Law, intended to grant new rights to victims of crimes. As of the most recent report, thirteen incumbent assembly members have filed papers declaring that they will not run for re-election. Among those who intend to vote on Election Day, Trump leads by a wide 67%-29% in Wisconsin and 60%-38% in Minnesota. The rationale for their campaign rhetoric seems clear. While the election was formally nonpartisan, the result of the general election was regarded as a victory for the Democratic Party, as the liberal Democratic Party-backed Karofsky defeated the conservative Republican Party-backed Daniel Kelly, who also carried the endorsement of Republican Party incumbent U.S. President Donald Trump.[35][36]. Spencer Kimball, director of Emerson polling, attributed the gain to a convention bounce. The ABC News/Ipsos poll found Biden's favorable rating had climbed from 40% to 46% and his unfavorable rating dropped from 43% to 40%. In Wisconsin, it's Biden by 54%-45% among non-college white women, also a reversal from the last election. Attorney Benjamin Lane defeated Chippewa Falls school board member Sharon Gibbs McIlquham. Silver noted that the candidate leading polling averages in August often went on to win the race since 1976, with three notable exceptions: Massachusetts Gov. As of April 21, 2020, Wisconsin reports that 1,239,611 absentee ballots were requested by voters, 1,282,097 absentee ballots were sent to voters, and 1,138,491 absentee ballots were returned by voters for the April 7 elections. As polling with third parties has been very limited, the polls included in the average are often different. Election Projection cannot screen all advertisements appearing here. The amendment is intended to provide additional rights to victims of crimes, but the language of the Wisconsin referendum was criticized by legal experts as vague and misleading.[45]. Results have margins of sampling error, in Minnesota, of 4.0 percentage points among registered voters and 4.5 among likely voters; and in Wisconsin, of 4.5 points for both groups, including design effects. In Wisconsin, Biden maintains strong leads in Dane County and Milwaukee. It's Trump by a huge margin among crime and safety voters; Biden by equally lopsided numbers among those focused on health care and equal treatment. Biden (D) vs. Trump (R) National Polls vs. 4 Years Avg.