It was a rematch of the 2016 Republican primary, which Pittenger won by just 134 votes. Pittenger was listed as one of the top five incumbents at risk to lose a primary, according to a report in The Hill on April 1, 2018. The CCES is a 50,000+ person national stratified sample survey administered by YouGov. We define wave elections as the 20 percent of elections in that period resulting in the greatest seat swings against the president's party. Crowley, a U.S. representative since 1999 and chairman of the House Democratic Caucus, had a 22-to-1 fundraising lead over newcomer Ocasio-Cortez at the end of March 2018. [95][96], Harris said he sought a rematch in 2018 because Pittenger was not conservative enough for the district. And I am running for Congress to help pass President Trump’s bold, conservative agenda. On November 6, 2018, Democrats won 22 of the 25 Clinton-leaning seats held by Republicans after 2016, while Republicans won two of the 13 Trump-leaning seats held by Democrats. [74] Stark fundraising differences and notable endorsements on both sides fueled debate over which candidate had the most progressive credentials. One undecided 2018 race was decided in September 2019 when Dan Bishop (R) won the special election. Americans went to the polls on November 6 to elect all of the House of Representatives and a third of the Senate. [77] Crowley's list of endorsements included more than 20 labor unions, NARAL Pro-Choice America, Moms Demand Action for Gun Sense in America, and more than a dozen state legislators. Yesterday I sketched out a plausible scenario for Republicans retaining – though just barely -- the House. [84], Incumbent Rep. Mark Sanford (R) was defeated by state Rep. Katie Arrington (R) by a four percent margin in the Republican primary for South Carolina's 1st Congressional District. The coming decade will... One of the new dynamics in this midterm election is President Trump reprising the rallies that helped fuel his victory in 2016. Conor Lamb (D) won a 2018 special election in Pennsylvania to replace U.S. Rep. Tim Murphy (R). [86], Sanford spoke of Arrington's challenge, saying "The campaign season is the time to create contrasts, whether they are real or imagined, and in this instance you got a Republican challenger who says I don't vote with Trump enough, and I have a Democratic challenger who says I vote with him too often," he said. "Daily Southtown," 'Column: Lipinski says record shows his support for birth control funds, Ballot access for major and minor party candidates, Congressional incumbents not running for re-election, Cooperative of American Physicians IE Committee, https://ballotpedia.org/wiki/index.php?title=United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections,_2018&oldid=7928456, Submit a photo, survey, video, conversation, or bio, Ballotpedia's Daily Presidential News Briefing, The average margin of victory was 30.2 percent. According to Politico, the PVI is designed to "provide a quick overall assessment of generic partisan strength in a congressional district. The defeat made Pittenger the first U.S. House incumbent in 2018 to lose his party’s primary. There were 52 seats where the incumbent was either retiring or otherwise not seeking re-election—18 Democrats and 34 Republicans, including House Speaker Paul Ryan (R-Wisconsin)—and seven vacant seats. Some quick facts: The following table compares the most recent race ratings from The Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. "[66][67][68], Boston City Councilor Ayanna Pressley (D) defeated longtime incumbent Rep. Michael Capuano (D) in his first contested primary in two decades. How many seats would Republicans have had to lose for the 2018 midterm election to be considered a wave election? United States House of Representatives elections, 2018, Incumbents who retired from public office, U.S. House members who sought a seat in the U.S. Senate, U.S. House members who ran for state attorney general, • Massachusetts' 7th Congressional District Democratic primary, • New York's 14th Congressional District Democratic primary, • Virginia's 10th Congressional District Democratic primary, • Illinois' 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary, • South Carolina's 1st Congressional District Republican primary, • North Carolina's 9th Congressional District Republican primary, One undecided 2018 race was decided in September 2019 when. Democrats need to flip 23 GOP-held seats to take control. Many of the critical battles will be fought in the suburbs, where Democrats hope they can win over affluent and well-educated voters. There were 25 Republican-held districts Clinton won and 13 Democratic-held districts Trump won.[6]. The stark demographic and educational divisions that have come to define American politics were clearly evident in voting preferences in the 2018 congressional elections. Democrats flipped one seat when Conor Lamb (D) won a February 2018 special election to replace Tim Murphy (R) in Pennsylvania's 18th Congressional District. U.S. House of Representatives. [88], Arrington released an ad in February 2018 tacitly referring to Sanford's relationship with Trump, saying, "[T]oo many Washington politicians only want to attack our president. Although they were scattered across the country, nine of the 11 districts were located in the midwest or the northeast, with five being in Minnesota or Pennsylvania. Although they were scattered across the country, 11 of the districts were located in California or Pennsylvania. The chart below shows the number of seats the president's party lost in the 11 U.S. House waves from 1918 to 2016. This is a list of the U.S. House battlegrounds in 2018. Sanford was critical of Trump's rhetoric and policies, and Arrington used those comments as part of her campaigning strategy in the primary. The US holds congressional elections … View full election results in the House of Representatives. Congressional elections use the popular vote to choose winners. Half of the questionnaire consists of Common Content asked of all 50,000+ people, and half of the questionnaire consists of Team Content designed by each individual participating team and asked of a subset of 1,000 people. The average MOV for victorious Democrats was 36.6 percent, while Republican victors averaged a MOV of 22.8 percent. Friedman finished second with 23 percent, and Stover was third with 16 percent. This year’s midterm races are nearing the finish line and politicos are already looking to 2020, but not all of the future focus is on the next presidential contest. This is below the 36.6 percent average in. Use the buttons below the map to share it on social media or embed it into a web page. [80] Four candidates raised $800,000 or more through the first quarter of 2018: former senior State Department official Alison Kiehl Friedman (D), state Sen. Jennifer Wexton (D), Army veteran Daniel Helmer (D), and former Obama administration official Lindsey Davis Stover.[81]. The 2018 US midterm elections are most Americans' first opportunity to pass judgment on Donald Trump since his election two years ago.. The term wave election is frequently used to describe an election cycle in which one party makes significant electoral gains. Arrington was endorsed by Trump just hours before polls closed on June 12. View Senate election results by state starting November 6. if("undefined"==typeof window.datawrapper)window.datawrapper={};window.datawrapper["JcxQI"]={},window.datawrapper["JcxQI"].embedDeltas={"100":529,"200":443,"300":421,"400":421,"500":421,"700":400,"800":400,"900":400,"1000":400},window.datawrapper["JcxQI"].iframe=document.getElementById("datawrapper-chart-JcxQI"),window.datawrapper["JcxQI"].iframe.style.height=window.datawrapper["JcxQI"].embedDeltas[Math.min(1e3,Math.max(100*Math.floor(window.datawrapper["JcxQI"].iframe.offsetWidth/100),100))]+"px",window.addEventListener("message",function(a){if("undefined"!=typeof a.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var b in a.data["datawrapper-height"])if("JcxQI"==b)window.datawrapper["JcxQI"].iframe.style.height=a.data["datawrapper-height"][b]+"px"}); There were 20 House seats that Barack Obama won in 2008 and 2012 that were won by Donald Trump in 2016: IA-01, IA-02, IA-03, IL-12, IL-17, ME-02, MN-01, MN-02, MN-08, NH-01, NJ-02, NJ-03, NV-03, NY-01, NY-02, NY-18, NY-19, NY-21, PA-17, and WI-03. [82] The general election contest between Comstock and Wexton figures to be one of the most closely watched House races of this cycle. Support for President Donald Trump (R) was one of the defining issues of the race. The redrawing increased the number of Clinton/Republican districts in Pennsylvania from two to four. The following table includes figures on Democratic and Republican members of Congress who either left office during their term or announced that they would not seek re-election for each election year since 2012. if("undefined"==typeof window.datawrapper)window.datawrapper={};window.datawrapper["DFSft"]={},window.datawrapper["DFSft"].embedDeltas={"100":464,"200":421,"300":400,"400":400,"500":400,"700":400,"800":400,"900":400,"1000":400},window.datawrapper["DFSft"].iframe=document.getElementById("datawrapper-chart-DFSft"),window.datawrapper["DFSft"].iframe.style.height=window.datawrapper["DFSft"].embedDeltas[Math.min(1e3,Math.max(100*Math.floor(window.datawrapper["DFSft"].iframe.offsetWidth/100),100))]+"px",window.addEventListener("message",function(a){if("undefined"!=typeof a.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var b in a.data["datawrapper-height"])if("DFSft"==b)window.datawrapper["DFSft"].iframe.style.height=a.data["datawrapper-height"][b]+"px"}); The Democrats matched this pattern in the 2018 midterms, gaining 40 seats for a total of 235 seats—17 more than was needed for a majority. Click here to contact us for media inquiries, and please donate here to support our continued expansion. Results data may not always add up to 100 percent due to rounding. He also criticized Pittenger for his March 2018 vote in favor of the $1.3 trillion spending bill.[91]. Ballotpedia's Annual Congressional Competitiveness Report found the following: According to Daily Kos' 2016 presidential results by congressional district data, Hillary Clinton (D) won 207 of the congressional districts up in 2018, while Donald Trump (R) won 228 districts. The following chart compares the number of open seats, incumbents with primary competition, contested partisan primaries, total seats, and total candidates in 2018 versus 2016 and 2014: Special elections to Congress occur when a legislator resigns or is removed from office. From 1918 to 2016, the president’s party lost an average of 29 seats in midterm elections. No specific number of criteria has to be met to label a district competitive, but all were considered in each race. Special elections were held earlier in 2018 and in 2017 to fill vacancies that occurred in the 115th Congress. There were wide differences in voting preferences between men and women, whites and nonwhites, as well as people with more and less educational attainment. Thirty-eight seats up in 2018 were won by the presidential candidate of the opposite party in 2016: Hillary Clinton (D) won 25 Republican-held districts, and Donald Trump (R) won 13 Democratic-held districts. Longtime incumbent Rep. and Blue Dog Coalition member Daniel Lipinski defeated political newcomer Marie Newman by just over 2,100 votes, 51 percent to 49 percent, for the Democratic nomination in Illinois’ 3rd Congressional District for a seat held by the party since 1975. Click the tiles below to read about what members of the 115th Congress said about the following issues. While technically a general election, the April 18 election was functionally a, June 20, 2017, runoff election between Republican, Pennsylvania's 18th Congressional District, 100-year historical analysis of House elections, Alabama's 2nd Congressional District election (July 17, 2018 Republican primary runoff), Alabama's 2nd Congressional District election (June 5, 2018 Republican primary), Arizona's 1st Congressional District election (August 28, 2018 Republican primary), Arizona's 2nd Congressional District election (August 28, 2018 Democratic primary), Arizona's 8th Congressional District special election (February 27, 2018 Republican primary), California's 10th Congressional District election (June 5, 2018 top-two primary), California's 25th Congressional District election (June 5, 2018 top-two primary), California's 39th Congressional District election (June 5, 2018 top-two primary), California's 45th Congressional District election (June 5, 2018 top-two primary), California's 48th Congressional District election (June 5, 2018 top-two primary), California's 49th Congressional District election (June 5, 2018 top-two primary), California's 50th Congressional District election (June 5, 2018 top-two primary), Colorado's 1st Congressional District election (June 26, 2018 Democratic primary), Colorado's 5th Congressional District election (June 26, 2018 Republican primary), Colorado's 6th Congressional District election (June 26, 2018 Democratic primary), Connecticut's 5th Congressional District election (August 14, 2018 Democratic primary), Connecticut's 5th Congressional District election (August 14, 2018 Republican primary), Florida's 15th Congressional District election (August 28, 2018 Democratic primary), Florida's 15th Congressional District election (August 28, 2018 Republican primary), Florida's 17th Congressional District election (August 28, 2018 Republican primary), Florida's 27th Congressional District election (August 28, 2018 Democratic primary), Florida's 5th Congressional District election (August 28, 2018 Democratic primary), Florida's 6th Congressional District election (August 28, 2018 Republican primary), Florida's 9th Congressional District election (August 28, 2018 Democratic primary), Georgia's 6th Congressional District election (July 24, 2018 Democratic primary runoff), Georgia's 7th Congressional District election (July 24, 2018 Democratic primary runoff), Hawaii's 1st Congressional District election (August 11, 2018 Democratic primary), Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District election (August 11, 2018 Democratic primary), Idaho's 1st Congressional District election (May 15, 2018 Republican primary), Illinois' 13th Congressional District election (March 20, 2018 Democratic primary), Illinois' 14th Congressional District election (March 20, 2018 Democratic primary), Illinois' 3rd Congressional District election (March 20, 2018 Democratic primary), Illinois' 4th Congressional District election (March 20, 2018 Democratic primary), Illinois' 5th Congressional District election (March 20, 2018 Democratic primary), Illinois' 6th Congressional District election (March 20, 2018 Democratic primary), Indiana's 4th Congressional District election (May 8, 2018 Republican primary), Indiana's 6th Congressional District election (May 8, 2018 Republican primary), Iowa's 1st Congressional District election (June 5, 2018 Democratic primary), Iowa's 3rd Congressional District election (June 5, 2018 Democratic primary), Kansas' 2nd Congressional District election (August 7, 2018 Republican primary), Kansas' 3rd Congressional District election (August 7, 2018 Democratic primary), Kentucky's 6th Congressional District election (May 22, 2018 Democratic primary), Maryland's 6th Congressional District election (June 26, 2018 Democratic primary), Massachusetts' 3rd Congressional District election (September 4, 2018 Democratic primary), Massachusetts' 7th Congressional District election (September 4, 2018 Democratic primary), Massachusetts' 8th Congressional District election (September 4, 2018 Democratic primary), Michigan's 11th Congressional District election (August 7, 2018 Democratic primary), Michigan's 11th Congressional District election (August 7, 2018 Republican primary), Michigan's 13th Congressional District election (August 7, 2018 Democratic primary), Michigan's 13th Congressional District special election (August 7, 2018 Democratic primary), Minnesota's 1st Congressional District election (August 14, 2018 Republican primary), Minnesota's 5th Congressional District election (August 14, 2018 Democratic primary), Minnesota's 8th Congressional District election (August 14, 2018 Democratic primary), Missouri's 1st Congressional District election (August 7, 2018 Democratic primary), Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District election (May 15, 2018 Democratic primary), Nevada's 3rd Congressional District election (June 12, 2018 Republican primary), New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District election (September 11, 2018 Democratic primary), New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District election (September 11, 2018 Republican primary), New Jersey's 11th Congressional District election (June 5, 2018 Democratic primary), New Jersey's 2nd Congressional District election (June 5, 2018 Republican primary), New Jersey's 5th Congressional District election (June 5, 2018 Republican primary), New Mexico's 1st Congressional District election (June 5, 2018 Democratic primary), New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District election (June 5, 2018 Republican primary), New York's 11th Congressional District election (June 26, 2018 Republican primary), New York's 14th Congressional District election (June 26, 2018 Democratic primary), New York's 19th Congressional District election (June 26, 2018 Democratic primary), New York's 1st Congressional District election (June 26, 2018 Democratic primary), New York's 21st Congressional District election (June 26, 2018 Democratic primary), New York's 24th Congressional District election (June 26, 2018 Democratic primary), North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District election (May 8, 2018 Republican primary), North Carolina's 9th Congressional District election (May 8, 2018 Democratic primary), North Carolina's 9th Congressional District election (May 8, 2018 Republican primary), Ohio's 12th Congressional District election (May 8, 2018 Democratic primary), Ohio's 12th Congressional District special election (May 8, 2018 Republican primary), Ohio's 16th Congressional District election (May 8, 2018 Republican primary), Oklahoma's 1st Congressional District election (August 28, 2018 Republican primary runoff), Oklahoma's 1st Congressional District election (June 26, 2018 Republican primary), Pennsylvania's 13th Congressional District election (May 15, 2018 Republican primary), Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District election (May 15, 2018 Democratic primary), Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District election (May 15, 2018 Democratic primary), Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District election (May 15, 2018 Republican primary), South Carolina's 1st Congressional District election (June 12, 2018 Republican primary), South Carolina's 4th Congressional District election (June 12, 2018 Republican primary), South Carolina's 4th Congressional District election (June 26, 2018 Republican primary runoff), Tennessee's 2nd Congressional District election (August 2, 2018 Republican primary), Tennessee's 6th Congressional District election (August 2, 2018 Republican primary), Tennessee's 8th Congressional District election (August 2, 2018 Republican primary), Texas' 16th Congressional District election (March 6, 2018 Democratic primary), Texas' 21st Congressional District election (March 6, 2018 Democratic primary), Texas' 21st Congressional District election (March 6, 2018 Republican primary), Texas' 23rd Congressional District election (March 6, 2018 Democratic primary), Texas' 27th Congressional District election (March 6, 2018 Republican primary), Texas' 29th Congressional District election (March 6, 2018 Democratic primary), Texas' 2nd Congressional District election (March 6, 2018 Republican primary), Texas' 5th Congressional District election (March 6, 2018 Republican primary), Texas' 6th Congressional District election (March 6, 2018 Republican primary), Texas' 7th Congressional District election (March 6, 2018 Democratic primary), Texas' 7th Congressional District election (May 22, 2018 Democratic primary runoff), United States House election in South Dakota (June 5, 2018 Republican primary), United States House of Representatives election in Alaska, 2018, United States House of Representatives election in Montana, 2018, Virginia's 10th Congressional District election (June 12, 2018 Democratic primary), Virginia's 6th Congressional District election (May 19, 2018 Republican convention), Washington's 8th Congressional District election (August 7, 2018 top-two primary), Washington's 9th Congressional District election (August 7, 2018 top-two primary), West Virginia's 3rd Congressional District election (May 8, 2018 Republican primary), Wisconsin's 1st Congressional District election (August 14, 2018 Democratic primary), Margin of victory analysis for the 2018 congressional elections, South Carolina's 1st Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District, North Carolina's 2nd Congressional District, North Carolina's 13th Congressional District, New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District, North Carolina's 8th Congressional District, West Virginia's 2nd Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 17th Congressional District, West Virginia's 3rd Congressional District, North Carolina's 7th Congressional District, North Carolina's 6th Congressional District, New Hampshire's 2nd Congressional District, South Carolina's 2nd Congressional District, North Carolina's 5th Congressional District, South Carolina's 5th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 14th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 6th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 11th Congressional District, North Carolina's 10th Congressional District, Massachusetts' 9th Congressional District, South Carolina's 7th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 9th Congressional District, North Carolina's 11th Congressional District, South Carolina's 4th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 4th Congressional District, Rhode Island's 2nd Congressional District, Massachusetts' 3rd Congressional District, West Virginia's 1st Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District, Rhode Island's 1st Congressional District, Massachusetts' 6th Congressional District, Massachusetts' 2nd Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 15th Congressional District, South Carolina's 3rd Congressional District, North Carolina's 1st Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 13th Congressional District, South Carolina's 6th Congressional District, North Carolina's 12th Congressional District, North Carolina's 4th Congressional District, Massachusetts' 5th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, Massachusetts' 1st Congressional District, Massachusetts' 4th Congressional District, Massachusetts' 7th Congressional District, Massachusetts' 8th Congressional District, North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District, Annual Congressional Competitiveness Report, 2018, Daily Kos' 2016 presidential results by congressional district data, U.S. House districts represented by a Republican and won by Hillary Clinton in 2016, U.S. House districts represented by a Democrat and won by Donald Trump in 2016, List of U.S. Congress incumbents who did not run for re-election in 2018, The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index, Massachusetts' 7th Congressional District Democratic primary, New York's 14th Congressional District Democratic primary, Virginia's 10th Congressional District Democratic primary, Illinois' 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary, South Carolina's 1st Congressional District Republican primary, North Carolina's 9th Congressional District Republican primary, 2018 primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, Special elections to the 115th United States Congress (2017-2018), The American Health Care Act of 2017 (AHCA).